2014
Economic Rationality, Risk Presentation, and Retirement Portfolio Choice
24 juli 2014
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This research studies the propensity of individuals to violate implications of expected utility maximization in allocating retirement savings within a compulsory defined contribution retirement plan. The paper develops the implications and describes the construction and administration of a discrete choice experiment to almost 1200 members of Australia`s mandatory retirement savings scheme.
Moral hazard in the insurance industry
23 juli 2014
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This Panel Paper reviews recent evidence on moral hazard in the insurance industry. We discuss three types of moral hazard and detail how each is an asymmetric information problem.
Longevity risk, cost of capital and hedging for life insurers under Solvency II
22 juli 2014
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The cost of capital is an important factor determining the premiums charged by life insurers issuing life annuities. Insurers will be able to offer more finely priced annuities if they can reduce this cost whilst maintaining solvency. This capital cost can be reduced by hedging longevity risk with longevity swaps, a form of reinsurance.
Meeting the Migrant Pension Challenge in China
21 juli 2014
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China is currently undergoing the largest regional migration in the world’s history. Young rural workers are moving to urban areas, often in a different province, for substantial periods of their working lives. Social security policy in China, while framed by national protocols and policy guidelines, is administered at more than 2000 lower-level jurisdictions, typically cities and counties, and at present this compromises pension entitlements of China’s 150 million rural migrant workers.
Developing Forecasting Mortality Trends allowing for Cause-of-Death Mortality Dependence
18 juli 2014
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Longevity risk is amongst the most important factors to consider for pricing and risk management of longevity products. Past improvements in mortality over many years, and the uncertainty of these improvements, have attracted the attention of experts, both practitioners and academics.
Die young or live long: Modeling subjective survival probabilities
16 juli 2014
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Modeling of subjective survival is critical to the use of mortality expectations in economic models and the life insurance industry. Subjective scaling factors that are used to adjust average survival probabilities for individual expectations are often based on a single observation of personal life expectancy and assumed to be constant for any projected target age.
Guarantees and habit formation in pension schemes
14 juli 2014
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Many pension plans in the Netherlands guarantee that the (nominal) benefits will never decrease. The benefits can increase if the financial position of the fund allows, according to the so-called conditional indexation rule.
Different people, different choices
11 juli 2014
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One of the major challenges for national governments, pension funds, and life/pension insurance companies is to stimulate people to think about their retirement income.
Model Risk, Mortality Heterogeneity and Implications for Solvency and Tail Risk
09 juli 2014
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Mortality models used to assess longevity risk and retirement funding have been extended to stochastic models with trends and systematic risk. Systematic risk cannot be readily diversified in an insurance pool or pension fund. It is an important factor in assessing solvency and highlighting the tail risk in longevity insurance and pension products.
Closed-Form Solutions for Options in Incomplete Markets
08 juli 2014
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This paper reconsiders the predictions of the standard option pricing models in the context of incomplete markets.
Just Interested or Getting Involved? An Analysis of Superannuation Attitudes and Actions
07 juli 2014
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Low levels of non-default decision making among superannuation members in Australia are assumed to be evidence of a lack of interest and capability.
Kostnader i innskuddspensjonene i Norge - Nivå, utvikling og en nordisk sammenligning
04 juli 2014
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Dette notatet tar for seg to problems tillinger: Organisering av tjenestepensjoner i privat sektor gjennom brede ordninger på tvers av enkeltvirksomheter og spørsmålet om hvordan kostnader i innskuddsbaserte tjenestepensjoner har utviklet seg.